What Is Realistically Possible With Value Betting?
Sports betting has gained immense popularity in recent years, with individuals seeking to profit from their passion for sports. In the video, we provide a data-driven analysis of various sports betting strategies, shedding light on their profitability and challenges. We discuss five key strategies: Horse Racing, Golf, First Goal Scorer, Football Coupons, and Combination Bets.
Horse Racing Betting Strategy:
- The horse racing strategy focuses on singles betting, a less common approach in horse racing.
- The unit win is set at £200 per bet, with a positive return on investment (ROI) of 4.99%.
- However, this approach is volatile, with a max drawdown of £4,311 per year.
- To profit from this strategy, consistency and patience are essential.
Golf Betting Strategy:
- The golf betting strategy employs the Kelly-based system, betting more on selections perceived as having better value.
- The unit win is £200 per bet, with an ROI of 32.86%.
- The max drawdown for this strategy is £1,398 per year.
- This approach requires an understanding of variance and patience, as break-even periods can last up to 12 months.
First Goal Scorer Betting Strategy:
- First goal scorer bets involve identifying positive equity opportunities.
- The unit win is £200 per bet, with a positive ROI of 15.96%.
- The max drawdown is £1,287 per year, and patience is essential.
- This strategy is suitable for individuals who find value in these markets.
Football Coupons Betting Strategy:
- Football coupons are based on modelling match odds, goals, cards, and corners.
- The unit win is £200 per game, with a profit of £3,322 per month.
- The max drawdown is £4,221 per year, and it’s less volatile than other strategies.
- This approach requires selecting high-value bets consistently.
Combination Bets Strategy:
- Combination bets are offered by bookmakers like William Hill and involve various markets.
- The unit win is £200 per game, resulting in a profit of £3,838 per month.
- The max drawdown is £5,247 per year, making it more volatile.
- This strategy demands careful selection of bets and risk management.
Overall Analysis:
- Combining these five strategies, it’s possible to make a substantial profit from sports betting.
- The average annual profit from these strategies is £49,828.11, with a monthly profit of £4,152.34.
- Doubling the bankroll and staking more on golf, horse racing, and football coupons can potentially increase the profit to £99,656.23 per year.
While sports betting can be profitable, it requires a deep understanding of the strategies, careful bankroll management, and a patient approach. By following proven bet histories, individuals can maximize their chances of success.