Sports Bets Analyst posted a premium stake of £20,000 on an odds on bet that won. Great work guys.
Let’s casually ignore the fact they celebrated a single bet that is statistically more likely to come in than not. As fellow Sports Bets Analysts, we thought we would do them the courtesy of recommending a bankroll to optimise their journey.
The Bet was at bet365 using their betbuilder for Napoli v Ajax – Match result Napoli or Draw and over 2.5 goals. This game was played in October 2022, and finished 4-2.
At bookiebashing we modelled this match and we have a record of the probability of all scorelines between 0-0 and 20-20. Using our data archive tool, we loaded the game up and determined the fair odds of Napoli or Draw and over 2.5 goals was 1.88 (53.2%).
- We ran 100 simulations of 1000 bets on this bet strategy to see what would happen to our bankroll.
- The average result was -£3.28 million. The best resul was -£1.64 million. We’d recommend a safe bankroll of around £10 million if looking to followSports Bets Analyst, and this will need to be topped up every year or so if placing a couple bets a day.
- As they say, they’re only getting started for the night. Best of luck all FIRE EMOJI TICK EMOJI FIRE EMOJI TICK EMOJI
