Double Delight at Betfred

Betfred offers a fantastic promotion for rugby bettors: if your first try scorer bet comes in and the same player scores again, you get paid out at double the odds. This is especially valuable in rugby, where try scoring is more frequent than goal scoring in football, and the odds are generally higher.

Leveraging the X Tries Tool

Bookie Bashing provides an invaluable tool called X Tries, which predicts the expected number of tries in a match. Here’s a step-by-step guide to using this tool effectively:

1. Navigate to the X Tries Tool:
   • Go to the rugby section and select the Six Nations match you are interested in. For instance, let’s look at Italy vs. England, where the expected number of tries is 6.6.
2. Analyse Player Data:
   • The tool aggregates data from the best bookmaker prices, adjusted for margin and favorite-longshot bias, to predict the expected tries for each player. For instance, Jamie George might be listed at 11/1 for first try scorer with neutral odds at 9.53, signaling a value bet.
3. Switch to Exchange Prices:
   • If there’s an available exchange price, the tool will automatically switch to this more accurate indicator. This ensures you’re getting the most reliable data for your bets.

Finding Value in First Try Scorer Bets

1. Filter the Data:
   • Focus on players with reasonable odds. For instance, Tommy Freeman might be at 11/2 with Betfred, but if he scores a second try, the payout is effectively at 11/1.
2. Shortlist Potential Bets:
   • Add players to your watchlist whose odds and expected try data indicate value. This might include players like Jamie George or Tommy Freeman, who present a good balance of probability and payout.

Tracking and Placing Bets with Bet Builder

1. Utilise the Bet Builder:
   • Once you’ve identified potential value bets, use the Bet Builder tool to track them. For example, if Jamie George is listed at 11/1 for first try scorer, input this data and send it to your private group tracker.
2. Monitor Market Movements:
   • Keep an eye on how odds shift as the match approaches. Significant movements can indicate increasing value. For instance, if a player’s odds drift downwards but their value remains high, it could signal a good opportunity to place a bet.

Practical Example: Scotland Match

1. Identify Top Prospects:
   • In the Scotland match, you might look at players like Vander Mura at 7/1 or Cal Stein at 8/1.
2. Adjust for Market Conditions:
   • Track these players using the Bet Builder and adjust your strategy based on market liquidity and odds movement. If the odds for a player shorten significantly, it might indicate a good bet.

By using Bookie Bashing’s tools—X Tries, Bet Builder, and private trackers—you can systematically identify and capitalise on value bets. The double delight promotion at Betfred is just one example of how strategic betting can significantly enhance your returns. Stay informed, monitor market movements, and make use of our advanced analytics to stay ahead in the betting game.